The Oscars: My Predictions

As many of you who have spent the last three years with me and my blog I am mister 75% when it comes to Oscar Predictions with a consistent 6 for 8 in each of the last three years. I have a feeling I won't be that lucky this year. Luckily I has seen all 18 movies involved in the top 8 awards. There is in my opinion only one clear favorite in any of the 8 catagories so I any going to take some chances and pick who I would vote for to win. Okay here we go. Wish me luck.

Best Writing, Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
The Nominees:
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

My prediction: Slumdog Millionaire
Notes: Wow, only Milk is left out or this would be a mirror image of Best Picture. Milk is nominated but in the next catagory. Benjamin Button might win. It is a three hour movie based on a short story, just imagine if it had been a full novel.

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
The Nominees:
Frozen River
Happy-Go-Lucky
In Bruges
Milk
WALL·E

My prediction: Milk
Notes: I think Milk will probably get the win but I would be very happy if In Bruges or WALL·E won. Both are very well written.

Best Achievement In Directing
The Nominees:
Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire
Stephen Daldry for The Reader
David Fincher for The Curious Case Of Banjamin Button
Ron Howard for Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Saint for Milk

My prediction: Danny Boyle
Notes: Boyle had the least to work with primarily unknown actors and still made a wonderful film.

Best Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
The Nominees:
Amy Adams for Doubt
Penelope Cruz for Vicky Christina Barcelona
Voila Davis for Doubt
Taraji P. Henson for The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei for The Wrestler

My prediction: Marisa Tomei
Notes: Here is were it starts getting very hard. I think Cruz and Tomei are the front runners and they are running neck and neck. Either could win.

Best Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
The Nominees:
Josh Brolin for Milk
Robert Downey Jr. for Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt
Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon for Revolutionary Road

My prediction: Heath Ledger
Notes: It's really a shame for the "other four" in this one. Heath Ledger has been the front runner for over a year now, and well deserved. I just hope the Academy voted for his performance and not the fact that he passed away.

Best Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
The Nominees:
Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Joile for Changling
Melissa Leo for Frozen River
Meryl Streep for Doubt
Kate Winslet for The Reader

My prediction: Kate Winslet
Notes: The battle of the titans. Winslet have 5 career nominations but she looks like an amateur compared to Streep's 15 career nominations. I do really feel that it is Winslet's year. Anne Hathaway may be her biggest competition.

Best Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
The Nominees:
Richard Jenkins for The Visitor
Frank Langella for Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn for Milk
Brad Pitt for The Curious Case Of Banjamin Button
Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler

My prediction: Mickey Rourke
Notes: This is another hard one. I think it will come down to Penn and Rourke. Penn is a hollywood sweetheart so he may win.

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Nominees:
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

My prediction: Slumdog Millionaire
Notes: And the big one. This may be a three way race between Benjamin Button, Milk and Slumdog. On this I went with my choice. Either of the other two could win, but I am hoping for Slumdog.

So, we will see how it all turns out in 12 hours.